Welcome to Firesight
A wildfire forecasting platform supported by the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre.
SIGN INFiresight gathers insights from wildfire professionals across Canada to improve prediction accuracy.
Watch the 2025 National Conversation
Connecting the fire management community.
Building best practices in wildfire prediction.
Providing real-time feedback on judgement under uncertainty.
How to improve your predictive skill
1
Forecast as many questions as you can.
2
Share feedback, news, or links that help others with more information.
3
Regularly update forecasts with new information.
4
Watch how your insights stack up against the leaderboard. Notice strengths and areas for improvement.
How Firesight works:
You make probabilistic predictions on wildfire questions
Forecasts are aggregated to offer agencies consensus probabilities, trends, and comments
Track your performance and update forecasts as you learn new information
Why a wildfire forecast platform?
Aggregating independent judgments is surprisingly accurate.
4th century
Aristotle writes about the “wisdom of the crowd” in Politics.
1906
Statistician Francis Galton asks 800 people at a county fair to guess the weight of an ox; median response was within 1% of actual answer.
1998
The University of Iowa launches the Iowa Electronic Market to let people bet on the outcome of elections. The IEM outperforms polls in every major election since.
2006
Companies begin to use crowdsourced forecasting to measure people and business: e.g., product sales, KPIs, portfolio management.
2011-2015
The U.S. Intelligence Community runs a multi-million dollar study showing how wisdom of crowds outperform individual experts.
Today
Firesight launches!
Questions?
Canadian wildfire staff can register with your agency email address. Fire researchers and other wildfire professionals can request access below.
Firesight is supported by the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre and operated by volunteer wildfire scientists and managers.